EU ETS in 2026: Full Compliance Is Here and the Costs Are Real

Category: EU Emissions Trading System / Decarbonisation

The EU Emissions Trading System has been phasing in for shipping since 2024. That phase-in is over. From January 2026, shipping companies must cover 100% of their CO₂ emissions on EU voyages — and for the first time, methane and nitrous oxide are included too. The financial impact is significant and the compliance cycle is strict.

How the phase-in worked

YearCO₂ coverage required
202440%
202570%
2026100%

From 2026, methane (CH₄) and nitrous oxide (N₂O) also fall under the ETS — not just monitoring. This is a new cost, particularly for LNG-fuelled vessels where methane slip during operation adds up fast.

What this costs

Allowance prices in 2026 are forecast at €60–€150 per tonne of CO₂. For an average bulk vessel trading within the EU, that translates to over €1.3 million per year in ETS costs at full coverage. Non-compliance carries fines on top of the outstanding obligation — and persistent non-compliance can result in a vessel being denied entry to EU ports.

Key dates to have in the diary

  • 31 March each year — verified emissions report submitted for the previous year
  • 30 June each year — valid Document of Compliance must be on board
  • 30 September each year — allowances surrendered in the Union Registry (MOHA)

Special note for LNG operators

From 2026, LNG-fuelled vessels must install Continuous Monitoring Systems specifically to measure methane slip. This is a hardware requirement, not just a paperwork one. If this is not yet in place on affected vessels, it needs to be addressed immediately.

What to check now

  • All vessels have an approved, up-to-date monitoring plan in THETIS-MRV — updated to include CH₄ and N₂O from 2026
  • An accredited verifier is assigned early in the year to allow time for the 31 March report deadline
  • The Document of Compliance is on board and valid
  • LNG vessels have CMS installed and certified

Bottom line

The ETS is no longer a future concern — it is a live operational cost. Fleets without solid monitoring and reporting processes in place will face both financial penalties and administrative headaches at verification time.

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